The United States' tourism industry is facing a significant challenge, as Australian travelers are increasingly turning their backs on the country. This shift in travel patterns has raised concerns among industry bodies, who warn that proposed changes to the ESTA application could further exacerbate the issue.
The latest travel data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reveals a 5.5% decline in outbound travel to the US for the year ending March 2026. This decline is particularly notable as it is the only destination among Australians' top 10 most visited countries to experience a decrease.
Dean Long, CEO of the Australian Travel Industry Association (ATIA), believes this trend indicates a "seismic shift" in Australian travel preferences. He highlights the growth in travel to Asian countries like Japan, Vietnam, and China, which have seen increases of up to 17%.
"The US is the odd one out here," Long explains. "While Australians are embracing Asia, the US is seeing a decline in visitors. This is a clear indication of a changing travel landscape."
One of the key factors contributing to this shift is the high cost of traveling to the US compared to shorter-haul destinations in Asia. Additionally, controversial trade and entry policies, including enhanced vetting and inspections of personal data upon arrival, have deterred some travelers.
The proposed changes to the ESTA application, which would require Australian tourists to disclose five years of social media history, have further alarmed the tourism industry. The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) predicts a significant drop in international arrivals and visitor spending if these changes are implemented.
"The US risks losing its position as the largest travel and tourism market if it doesn't address these issues," says Gloria Guevara, president of the WTTC. "It's crucial for the US to promote its attractiveness and position itself as a welcoming destination."
Despite these challenges, US tourism leaders are determined to attract Australian visitors. Brand USA, the organization promoting international tourism to the US, recognizes Australia and New Zealand as vital markets. Chris Heywood, Brand USA's chief communications officer, emphasizes the need to reassure visitors and provide them with the necessary information for their trips.
Los Angeles, a popular gateway city for Australian travelers, is actively working to maintain its appeal. Adam Burke, CEO of the Los Angeles Tourism and Convention Board, highlights the city's diversity and inclusivity, aiming to make visitors feel at home.
"We're optimistic about the future," Burke says. "While we face challenges, we also have exciting attractions and global sporting events coming to Los Angeles. The demand for luxury experiences among Australian travelers is growing, and we're confident we can continue to attract visitors."
The upcoming FIFA World Cup, America's 250th birthday celebrations, and the Route 66 Centennial are all opportunities for Los Angeles to showcase its appeal. Additionally, the city hopes to capitalize on the increase in Australians cruising overseas, with plans to develop its cruise infrastructure.
"We're committed to ensuring Australian travelers have a positive experience in Los Angeles," Burke adds. "We want them to feel welcomed and inspired to return."
As the US tourism industry navigates these challenges, it remains to be seen whether it can successfully adapt and regain its appeal to Australian travelers.